BTC—— ETH—— MKT— VOL—
Prices CoinGecko · — EMEA· Zurich · —
Thursday
5 November 2026
Sirruna.

Zurich · New York · Singapore · Founded 2025 · Written with AI, edited to a published standard

Conditions Index — Scorecard 74 of 80sessions held since 26 Aug
Every figure on this page carries the minute it was taken. MethodologyCorrectionsWho writes this

The Evening Wrap · 2026-11-05 · 20:34 Zurich

ETF money holds as everything else gives ground

A broad 7% drawdown across the market found one thing still working in crypto's favour, and it was not sentiment.

Marcus · EMEA Desk Zurich desk · 4 min read

Bitcoin closed at $75,940, down 5.3% over the 24-hour window. Selling pressure built through the London afternoon and eased only when New York came online. The move was orderly, no single violent leg, just sustained pressure that found no meaningful buyer response until the US open. What complicates the read is the Fear and Greed Index closing at 50 (Neutral), up from 34 (Fear) the previous day, even as price gave back meaningful ground. Sentiment and price are pointing in opposite directions, and we cannot yet say which is the lagging indicator.

Ethereum fell 7.2% to $2,248, underperforming Bitcoin by a clear margin. The ETH/BTC ratio sits at 0.0296, a level that reflects how thoroughly Ethereum has lost relative footing over recent months. Solana dropped 6.4% to $89, broadly in line with the wider altcoin complex. Bitcoin dominance rose to 59.2%, the mechanical consequence of alts falling faster. If the drawdown extends into Friday, that figure is worth tracking.

Against this view

Every reading on this page is one the desk can show its working for. Where a figure has no series behind it, the page says so beside the figure rather than in a footnote.

Funding rates across perpetual markets were roughly neutral through the session, neither squeezing longs nor rewarding shorts in any meaningful way. That points to spot-led selling. It also means there was no clean derivatives flush. Open interest did not collapse, so the positions that drove the move are largely still on. If price holds here or drifts lower overnight, the next session inherits that overhang.

Total market capitalisation closed at $2.57T, down 7.3% on the day. The breadth of the decline across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and the wider altcoin market points to a macro-driven risk-off move. We cannot confirm a specific trigger from the data available. The session ended with more questions than answers.

The bottom line

Crypto shed 7% today. ETF flows stayed positive on the week. Watch whether Friday holds $75K on BTC.

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O. For the Owl · your reading ETF flows held while everything else gave ground Across a 7% drawdown, the one mechanism that did not reverse was institutional ETF allocation. BTC sits at $75,940 and… Why this fits you →
i four readings Published with the edition
The Macro

ETF flows absorb the week even as Thursday bleeds

Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $25M on Thursday, but the weekly picture remains firmly positive at +$616M. Institutional positioning has not broken.

Europe

MiCA holds the frame as prices fall

European trading hours carried the bulk of Thursday's selling, with the move through London afternoon hours the most sustained part of the decline. No single European exchange or firm…

—fear
& greed
Middle East

Dubai watched; no confirmed moves today

No confirmed regulatory decision, exchange announcement, or institutional move from the Gulf region landed on Thursday that we can report with precision. A quiet day in the region, reported…

Africa

Remittance corridors hold regardless of price

A 7% drawdown in Bitcoin matters differently in markets where crypto functions as a remittance rail rather than a speculative instrument. In Nigeria, Kenya, and South Africa, the utility…

ii The Riverbank Banks set Saturday · scored on full sessions
The Riverbank · BTC
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waiting on the week’s banks
7 days

The banks are set on a Saturday and not moved until the next one. This card fills when the week’s file is published.

Support — Resistance —
Why the banks sit here

The floor and the ceiling are set on Saturday and not moved until the next one.

The Riverbank · ETH
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waiting on this week’s banks
7 days

The banks are set Saturday and not moved until the next one.

Support — Resistance —
Why the banks sit here

The floor and the ceiling are set on Saturday and not moved until the next one.

How the banks work

  1. The desk sets a floor and a ceiling on a Saturday, before the week opens, and publishes them.
  2. They are not moved until the following Saturday, whatever happens in between.
  3. A session is scored on its full twenty-four hour range, not on its close.
  4. A session that finishes outside a bank is marked against the desk, in public.

An asset earns banks when the desk is willing to set them every Saturday and stand behind the verdict. Until then it is watched, not judged, and sits on The Watchlist. Every week is scored on the Scorecard, including the ones we get wrong.

Running since —. — of sessions held across —. Every week, held or not →

iii markets Conditions →
AssetPrice24hMarket cap Structure
BTC Bitcoin —— — —
ETH Ethereum —— — —
Fear & Greed
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alternative.me, one input to the Index
The shape
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how the six components sit against each other
Conditions Index
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published when its factors report

Prices and market capitalisation from CoinGecko, stamped in the strip. Structure reads off this week’s Riverbank banks and shows a dash for any asset the desk has not set banks on. Total market capitalisation —, bitcoin dominance —.

iv the week ahead The week ahead →
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Times are Zurich. Dates from the ECB, Federal Reserve and BLS published calendars.